$PROB / Probably Nothing
Trading for 40m; made by a new wallet; the creator held none at our scan; mint and freeze revoked; 451 holders, top 10 hold 19%.
DB buy below the candle · DS sell above it · L event · what the letters mean
Who: D dev, F dev's funder, S sniper (launch block), C crew, H top holder, W large trade, SM smart money; named KOLs show initials. Events: L launch block, TG callout, B same-block buys, N fresh wallets. Tap a key above to hide a kind. Facts, not a verdict.Charts by TradingView.
Holder concentration
Top holders mapped by share
holderthe devinsiderother colours: same funderpool or service
Deepest pools
Top 2 by liquidity
Bar = share of all liquidity across the coin's pools. Pools from DexScreener.
Over time
Liquidity, holders and market cap, since we started watching 38 min ago
We read the coin every 10 minutes for three days after anyone opens its page. Liquidity and market cap: DexScreener. Holders: GeckoTerminal and our scan.
What moved it
biggest move in 24 h · 13 min ago- No call, post, graduation or trade by a wallet we know lines up with it.
The number is how well size and timing line up (0–100). It says who traded and when, not why. All movers
What we've flagged
Flagged 4 times in 7 days- 18 min agoGuild2 wallets of holder guild #g3cf57 are among its top holders.
- 30 min agoCap downMarket cap fell 81% ($66.5K → $12.7K).
- 30 min agoLiquidityLiquidity fell 56% ($19.2K → $8.5K): pulled, or a very large sale.
- 39 min agoGraduatedLeft its launch curve: trading moved to a pool.
Moments our alert rules fired, kept for 14 days, even when nobody tracks the coin. Facts about the coin, not a light.
Cabals in this coin 1
Groups of wallets that keep buying the same coins: launch crews (they buy launch blocks together) and holder guilds (they sit among the top holders of the same coins). Only groups with 2+ wallets in this coin.
| Group | Here | Launch block | Held at check | Taken out | Its record | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holder guild #g3cf57 3 wallets · 7 coins | 2 | 0% | 2.17% | · | 60% fell 80%+ |
Money out (what the dev and launch-block wallets sold minus bought in the first 24 hours) is being measured: this updates by itself in a minute.
Footprints (trading apps, fee settings and where the top holders' money came from) are being measured: this updates by itself in a minute.
The team
The dev, the wallets that bought the launch block, and holders the dev funded: how they're connected and how their earlier coins did. The launch map below draws the connections.
| FMZL…8rRj | dev | no earlier coins seen |
Creator fees
All creator fees go to one wallet: the one that launched the coin.
- FMZL…8rRj (the deployer)100%
About 0.6124 SOL in creator fees is waiting unclaimed (0.4668 from the bonding curve, 0.1457 from PumpSwap trading).
Read on chain from the coin's pump.fun bonding curve and the creator's PumpSwap fee vault 39 min ago.
Money map
Loading who funded whom…Arrows show money moving (the first money a wallet received) and coins bought or held. Facts from the chain, not a verdict about anyone.
The creator wallet
FMZLs6A5BDCBgULbZoXA4VHKdTbHU9REHkp7DSmm8rRj
- Held none of the supply and 0.0 SOL at our scan (39 min ago).
- First transaction 42m ago, 9 transactions so far.
Source: pump.fun bonding curve.
The creator's other coins
Creator wallet FMZLs6A5BDCBgULbZoXA4VHKdTbHU9REHkp7DSmm8rRj (from GeckoTerminal). No other coins from this wallet in our records yet. Open the wallet ›
Who holds the supply
| Holder group | Share | Wallets |
|---|---|---|
| Other top holders | 26.27% | 17 |
| Crews & holder guilds | 2.17% | 2 |
| Exchanges & services | 1.77% | 1 |
| Smaller holders, not read one by one | 69.79% | – |
From the top 20 holders (RugCheck); the rest is spread over smaller holders we don't read one by one. No value shown: the market cap doesn't stand on a real pool. Not part of the light.
At a glance
- Mint & freezeRevoked
- Dev held at our scan0.00%
- Creator wallet age42m
- Held by top 1019%
- SocialsX
Facts read from the chain and the coin's own pages. Checked isn't the same as safe.
Top holders
Who each of the biggest holders is to this launch, from the launch block, first funding, insider flags, known groups and each wallet's first trade.
Source RugCheck, read 39 min ago.
| # | Wallet | Holds | What we know |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6wuQ…wkqc | 2.30% | nothing stands out |
| 2 | Atif…hAYD | 2.09% | nothing stands out |
| 3 | 5gJN…qnBN | 2.04% | nothing stands out |
| 4 | 75ML…kQT7 | 1.87% | nothing stands out |
| 5 | DMwG…uTDV | 1.86% | nothing stands out |
| 6 | 4QKV…24mF | 1.82% | nothing stands out |
| 7 | 2QkM…fBww | 1.80% | nothing stands out |
| 8 | 4vw5…9Ud9 Busy wallet (likely an exchange or custody) | 1.77% | busy wallet |
| 9 | ENCq…kN4v | 1.75% | nothing stands out |
| 10 | 6CQx…5cHZ | 1.69% | nothing stands out |
| 11 | 9CJm…ugaU | 1.39% | nothing stands out |
| 12 | CC9j…yDwK | 1.22% | nothing stands out |
| 13 | 98hT…NZsu | 1.21% | nothing stands out |
| 14 | 2r87…C4TU | 1.15% | nothing stands out |
| 15 | 4oxk…9M8r | 1.10% | guild #g3cf57 |
| 16 | Dxvn…kn6S | 1.09% | nothing stands out |
| 17 | E2WF…tqJe | 1.07% | guild #g3cf57 |
| 18 | 9jFj…XFkX | 1.06% | nothing stands out |
| 19 | C6X1…fAyK | 0.97% | nothing stands out |
| 20 | CTnh…UzWD | 0.96% | nothing stands out |
Holder map
The 20 biggest holders (bigger bubble = bigger share). Grey: pools and known services. Pink: wallets RugCheck flags as insiders. Same colour with a line to an outer dot: first funded by the same wallet.
Holders, insider flags, labels and liquidity locks: RugCheck. Shared funders: our own read of each wallet's first transaction.
Launch tape (log time from creation)
Live activity
Wallets per minute (in the trades we've read)
Waiting for trades…
buying wallets selling wallets
What we're seeing
- Waiting for trades…
Latest trades
Most active wallets (in the trades we've read)
| Wallet | Bought | Sold | Net | Trades | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Waiting for trades… | |||||
Trades from GeckoTerminal's public feed, refreshed every few seconds while this page is open. Wallet ages and funders: our own reads of each wallet's first transaction. Flags describe what happened, not why.
Trading for 40m; made by a new wallet; the creator held none at our scan; mint and freeze revoked; 451 holders, top 10 hold 19%.
- Cabals in this coin1 known group of wallets is in this coin. The largest, holder guild #g3cf57, has 2 of its 3 wallets here: 2.17% held at our check. 3 of the 5 coins it was in with an outcome fell 80%+ within a day.
Cross-checks
What we find when we compare the coin's website, code, token, launch timing, liquidity, ticker and wallets against each other and against public address labels.
- Creator's launchesThe creator wallet has launched 1 coin on pump.fun (counted on chain from its bonding curves); we checked 1 of them.
- Cabals in this coin1 known group of wallets is in this coin. The largest, holder guild #g3cf57, has 2 of its 3 wallets here: 2.17% held at our check. 3 of the 5 coins it was in with an outcome fell 80%+ within a day. source
- The teamOnly the dev wallet: no early buyer or holder wallets found with it. source
- The story behind itThe coin's story is an X post by @FirstCoinLaunch with 12 likes. It was posted 3 min before the coin's first pool. The post names this coin. 3 other coins we checked use the same post. source
- Liquidity depthPool liquidity is $2.9K, 95.1% of the $3.0K market cap. Selling 1% of the supply (about $30) would get roughly 2.1% less than the quoted price (estimate for a standard pool). source
- Same ticker elsewhere22 other coins trade as $PROB. The biggest is Probably Nothing on Solana ($121K, first pool 37m ago). source
- Reused X postThe X post x.com/FirstCoinLaunch/status/2121337177087132102 is also listed by 4 other coins we checked: $PROB ×4. So many coins list it that it's most likely someone else's, borrowed for the story. source
The token
Mint & freeze revoked
- Mint new tokens: locked
- Freeze wallets: locked
- Change name, logo and links: locked
The website
The token's metadata lists no website of its own.
@FirstCoinLaunch · 12 likes · 3 replies
Solana just intorduced it's AI https://t.co/Dcdp2NFAHz I gave it one prompt "Make a memecoin" It called it Probably Nothing and said the mascot is a shiba in a bathtub with a rubber duck This is the first memecoin prompt from Solana AI https://t.co/1XlHzeZ66x
Posted 3 min before the coin's first pool. The post names this coin. 3 other coins we checked use the same post.
Track record of these signals
How earlier coins with the same signals did: the share that fell 80% or more within 24 hours of our check, against coins without the signal. It describes past coins; it doesn't predict this one. All signals
| Signal this coin has | Fell 80%+ with it | Without it | Coins |
|---|---|---|---|
| Creator wallet under a day old | 83% | 77% | 3911 |
| A launch crew bought the launch block | 79% | 78% | 3085 |
- Checked isn't the same as safe: these checks describe what the token allows and what the website runs, not what anyone will do.
- "Nothing found" means not visible on the public page; servers and private code are invisible to us. Not financial advice.