Which Signals
Actually Mattered.
Every coin we check gets its market cap noted again 24 hours later. For each signal we show, here is how often coins with it fell 80% or more, against coins without it.
How our ratings did
Every rating is checked against what happened next: the share of coins with each rating that fell 80% or more within 24 hours of our check.
| GREEN | 343 coins | 39% fell 80%+ |
| YELLOW | 246 coins | 57% fell 80%+ |
| RED | 54 coins | 74% fell 80%+ |
Signals
| Signal | Coins with it | Fell 80%+ with it | Without it | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20%+ bought in the launch block | 304 | 47% | 50% | -3 pts |
| Creator holds 5%+ | 95 | 82% | 48% | +34 pts |
| Creator wallet under a day old | 468 | 43% | 52% | -9 pts |
| Top 10 hold 50%+ | 439 | 57% | 47% | +10 pts |
| Insider-flagged wallets hold 10%+ | 0 | collecting | 50% | · |
| Holders funded by one wallet hold 10%+ | 3 | collecting | 50% | · |
| Launch buyers that buy many launches | 811 | 47% | 52% | -5 pts |
| Mint or freeze power still usable | 46 | 54% | 49% | +5 pts |
| Risky contract permissions (GoPlus) | 4 | collecting | 50% | · |
| No website, X or Telegram listed | 435 | 57% | 47% | +10 pts |
| Website tech claims mostly unbacked | 2 | collecting | 50% | · |
| Liquidity not locked | 28 | 43% | 50% | -7 pts |
| Creator's earlier coins mostly fell 80%+ | 239 | 57% | 48% | +9 pts |
| X account or website reused from an earlier coin | 474 | 46% | 51% | -5 pts |
| A launch crew bought the launch block | 93 | 67% | 49% | +18 pts |
A rate shows once at least 20 coins have it. "Fell 80%+" = the market cap 24 hours after our check was at most a fifth of the market cap when we checked (a coin whose pools disappeared counts as fallen). Most new coins fall: compare each rate with the "without it" column, not with zero.
Wallets with a winning record
Wallets that bought the launch block of at least 3 coins we checked, where most of those coins were worth 2x or more a day after our check. When one of them trades a coin you're watching, the live tracker tags it.
| 7oDF…kQ2A | 90 of 97 launches 2x+ | 93% |
| 2Wpe…p93t | 85 of 93 launches 2x+ | 91% |
| PYUx…k1iU | 35 of 37 launches 2x+ | 95% |
| BvZv…TRrj | 4 of 7 launches 2x+ | 57% |
| 3PV9…jnCN | 3 of 4 launches 2x+ | 75% |
| 8Knu…87Gt | 3 of 4 launches 2x+ | 75% |
| C55g…6gMi | 3 of 5 launches 2x+ | 60% |
| F8yG…ayGr | 3 of 5 launches 2x+ | 60% |
| 3DQ9…gB12 | 2 of 3 launches 2x+ | 67% |
| Cs8t…1ebH | 2 of 3 launches 2x+ | 67% |
| DDxm…NU1C | 2 of 3 launches 2x+ | 67% |
| Esy6…Fjax | 2 of 3 launches 2x+ | 67% |
| 2mMb…mGwk | 2 of 4 launches 2x+ | 50% |
- This describes what happened to coins we checked earlier. It doesn't predict any single coin, and a signal can be innocent (a creator holding supply for a reason, a busy sniper bot in the launch block).
- Not financial advice. We never say whether to buy or sell. Data: /api/signals.