Method · track record

Which Signals
Actually Mattered.

Every coin we check gets its market cap noted again 24 hours later. For each signal we show, here is how often coins with it fell 80% or more, against coins without it.

90,702Coins checked
1,692With a 24 h outcome
50%Fell 80%+ (all coins)
1,470Launch buyers indexed
45,205Labelled addresses

How our ratings did

Every rating is checked against what happened next: the share of coins with each rating that fell 80% or more within 24 hours of our check.

GREEN343 coins39% fell 80%+
YELLOW246 coins57% fell 80%+
RED54 coins74% fell 80%+

Signals

SignalCoins with itFell 80%+ with itWithout itDifference
20%+ bought in the launch block304 47% 50% -3 pts
Creator holds 5%+95 82% 48% +34 pts
Creator wallet under a day old468 43% 52% -9 pts
Top 10 hold 50%+439 57% 47% +10 pts
Insider-flagged wallets hold 10%+0 collecting 50% ·
Holders funded by one wallet hold 10%+3 collecting 50% ·
Launch buyers that buy many launches811 47% 52% -5 pts
Mint or freeze power still usable46 54% 49% +5 pts
Risky contract permissions (GoPlus)4 collecting 50% ·
No website, X or Telegram listed435 57% 47% +10 pts
Website tech claims mostly unbacked2 collecting 50% ·
Liquidity not locked28 43% 50% -7 pts
Creator's earlier coins mostly fell 80%+239 57% 48% +9 pts
X account or website reused from an earlier coin474 46% 51% -5 pts
A launch crew bought the launch block93 67% 49% +18 pts

A rate shows once at least 20 coins have it. "Fell 80%+" = the market cap 24 hours after our check was at most a fifth of the market cap when we checked (a coin whose pools disappeared counts as fallen). Most new coins fall: compare each rate with the "without it" column, not with zero.

Wallets with a winning record

Wallets that bought the launch block of at least 3 coins we checked, where most of those coins were worth 2x or more a day after our check. When one of them trades a coin you're watching, the live tracker tags it.

7oDF…kQ2A90 of 97 launches 2x+93%
2Wpe…p93t85 of 93 launches 2x+91%
PYUx…k1iU35 of 37 launches 2x+95%
BvZv…TRrj4 of 7 launches 2x+57%
3PV9…jnCN3 of 4 launches 2x+75%
8Knu…87Gt3 of 4 launches 2x+75%
C55g…6gMi3 of 5 launches 2x+60%
F8yG…ayGr3 of 5 launches 2x+60%
3DQ9…gB122 of 3 launches 2x+67%
Cs8t…1ebH2 of 3 launches 2x+67%
DDxm…NU1C2 of 3 launches 2x+67%
Esy6…Fjax2 of 3 launches 2x+67%
2mMb…mGwk2 of 4 launches 2x+50%
  • This describes what happened to coins we checked earlier. It doesn't predict any single coin, and a signal can be innocent (a creator holding supply for a reason, a busy sniper bot in the launch block).
  • Not financial advice. We never say whether to buy or sell. Data: /api/signals.