$PROB / Probably Nothing

Solana27m oldgraduated 23m ago
Scanned 22 min ago

Trading for 27m; made by a new wallet; 4% of supply went to 2 launch-block wallets; the creator held 1.1% at our scan; mint and freeze revoked.

Price$0.0₃1666+8% since launch
Market cap$167K+1% since scan
Liquidity–1 pool
Volume 24h$8.1K
Holders115
Top 10 hold3%46% outside pools
Dev held1.1%at our scan
Launch block4%2 wallets
Loading the chart…
    DB buy below the candle · DS sell above it · L event · what the letters mean Who: D dev, F dev's funder, S sniper (launch block), C crew, H top holder, W large trade, SM smart money; named KOLs show initials. Events: L launch block, TG callout, B same-block buys, N fresh wallets. Tap a key above to hide a kind. Facts, not a verdict.

    Charts by TradingView.

    Over time

    Liquidity, holders and market cap

    Recording started: we read this coin every 10 minutes from now on, and the charts fill in over the next hour.

    What we've flagged

    Flagged 2 times in 7 days
    1. 21 min agoGuild5 wallets of holder guild #g64222 are among its top holders.
    2. 23 min agoGraduatedLeft its launch curve: trading moved to a pool.

    Moments our alert rules fired, kept for 14 days, even when nobody tracks the coin. Facts about the coin, not a light.

    Cabals in this coin 1

    Groups of wallets that keep buying the same coins: launch crews (they buy launch blocks together) and holder guilds (they sit among the top holders of the same coins). Only groups with 2+ wallets in this coin.

    GroupHereLaunch blockHeld at checkTaken outIts record
    Holder guild #g64222 38 wallets · 28 coins 90%1.31% · collecting

    Money out (what the dev and launch-block wallets sold minus bought in the first 24 hours) is being measured: this updates by itself in a minute.

    Footprints (trading apps, fee settings and where the top holders' money came from) are being measured: this updates by itself in a minute.

    The launch block, by who paid for it

    The 2 wallets that bought in the launch block (the first two blocks, under a second) took 4.45% of the supply. Grouped by the wallet that first funded them: 1 linked group holds 4.45% of it.

    The dev's side: 4.45%On its own: 0.0%
    GroupWalletsShare boughtTaken out (24 h)
    The dev's side GwUk…Jeue 14.45% measuring
    6orP…pQJZ on its own 10.0% measuring

    Grey = a wallet with no funding link to the others. Taken out = sales minus buys plus liquidity out minus in, from the money-out measurement above.

    The dev's linked wallets 2

    The dev is one of 2 linked wallets; together they created 1 coin we checked.

    GwUk…Jeuethis walletcreated 1
    2ZD6…K6jtfunded GwUk…Jeue

    Coins they created: $PROB

    Linked when one first funded the other, or both bought in the same small launch crew. Busy wallets (exchanges, services) are never used to join wallets.

    The team

    The dev, the wallets that bought the launch block, and holders the dev funded: how they're connected and how their earlier coins did. The launch map below draws the connections.

    2Wallets in the team
    0Connected to the dev
    ·Earlier coins that fell 80%+
    ·Earlier coins that went 2x+
    GwUk…Jeue dev · 1.1% at scan no earlier coins seen
    6orP…pQJZ early buyer no earlier coins seen

    Money map

    Loading who funded whom…

    Arrows show money moving (the first money a wallet received) and coins bought or held. Facts from the chain, not a verdict about anyone.

    The creator wallet

    GwUki2oxoTRiGDWWpzBSqLMgbXqiXhMefoFM7DD7Jeue

    • Held 1.12% of the supply and 27.424 SOL at our scan (22 min ago).
    • First transaction 27m ago, 105 transactions so far.
    • First funded with 113.446 SOL by 2ZD6…K6jt.

    Source: GeckoTerminal.

    The launch block

    2 wallets bought 4.5% of the supply in the same block the coin was created (or the next one). Many buyers there usually means a scripted, "bundled" launch.

    GwUk…Jeue creator4.45%
    6orP…pQJZ0.00%

    The creator's other coins

    Creator wallet GwUki2oxoTRiGDWWpzBSqLMgbXqiXhMefoFM7DD7Jeue (from GeckoTerminal). No other coins from this wallet in our records yet. Open the wallet ›

    Who holds the supply

    Pools & launch curve 3.96%Dev & dev-funded 1.12%Crews & holder guilds 1.31%Exchanges & services 90.02%Other top holders 0.87% Smaller holders, not read one by one 2.72%
    Holder groupShareWallets
    Exchanges & services 90.02% 1
    Pools & launch curve 3.96% 1
    Crews & holder guilds 1.31% 9
    Dev & dev-funded 1.12% 1
    Other top holders 0.87% 8
    Smaller holders, not read one by one 2.72% –

    From the top 20 holders (RugCheck); the rest is spread over smaller holders we don't read one by one. No value shown: the market cap doesn't stand on a real pool. Not part of the light.

    At a glance

    • Mint & freezeRevoked
    • Bought in the launch block4.5% by 2 wallets
    • Dev held at our scan1.12%
    • Creator wallet age27m
    • Held by top 103%
    • SocialsX

    Facts read from the chain and the coin's own pages. Checked isn't the same as safe.

    Top holders

    Who each of the biggest holders is to this launch, from the launch block, first funding, insider flags, known groups and each wallet's first trade.

    Source RugCheck, read 22 min ago.

    • Dev1.1%1 wallet
    • Launch block1.1%1 wallet

    Held right now by the top 20 holders, by tag. Sniper, bundler and side-wallet tags come from every launch we've read, not this coin alone.

    #WalletHoldsWhat we know
    1 Program account (pool or vault) 90.02%
    2 Meteora DAMM v2 Pool 3.96%
    3 GwUk…Jeue Creator 1.12% devlaunch blockdev-funded
    4 4ux6…6EgU 0.73% guild #g64222
    5 cDvk…RPs7 0.19% nothing stands out
    6 3rnQ…M8by 0.18% nothing stands out
    7 6fUq…tkeN 0.12% nothing stands out
    8 DE56…VDEh 0.11% guild #g64222
    9 6i86…xEk8 0.09% nothing stands out
    10 FXNq…4qrD 0.09% nothing stands out
    11 DW2U…GMeW 0.09% guild #g64222
    12 4z6k…UNkE 0.08% guild #g64222
    13 9vmb…BERd 0.08% nothing stands out
    14 4ySK…CvAz 0.07% guild #g64222
    15 B7TA…rJs3 0.07% nothing stands out
    16 CKGf…rgfg 0.06% guild #g64222
    17 DvzF…wg2t 0.06% guild #g64222
    18 CF8p…mjvD 0.06% guild #g64222
    19 EdjV…qKgY 0.05% nothing stands out
    20 hE9Q…G61S 0.05% guild #g64222

    Holder map

    The 20 biggest holders (bigger bubble = bigger share). Grey: pools and known services. Pink: wallets RugCheck flags as insiders. Same colour with a line to an outer dot: first funded by the same wallet.

    Holders, insider flags, labels and liquidity locks: RugCheck. Shared funders: our own read of each wallet's first transaction.

    Launch map

    The creator in the middle, the wallets that bought in the launch block around it (bigger bubble = bigger share of supply), and the wallets that funded them on the outside. Buyers with the same colour were funded by the same wallet.

    Launch tape (log time from creation)

    Created Launch block 4% · 2 wallets · +0s Graduated +4m Our check $165K · +5m Now $167K · +28m

    Live activity

    Connecting to the live trades…

    Wallets per minute (in the trades we've read)

    Waiting for trades…

    buying wallets selling wallets

    What we're seeing

    • Waiting for trades…

    Latest trades

    Most active wallets (in the trades we've read)

    WalletBoughtSoldNetTrades
    Waiting for trades…

    Trades from GeckoTerminal's public feed, refreshed every few seconds while this page is open. Wallet ages and funders: our own reads of each wallet's first transaction. Flags describe what happened, not why.

    Trading for 27m; made by a new wallet; 4% of supply went to 2 launch-block wallets; the creator held 1.1% at our scan; mint and freeze revoked.

    • Cabals in this coin1 known group of wallets is in this coin. The largest, holder guild #g64222, has 9 of its 38 wallets here: 1.31% held at our check.

    Cross-checks

    What we find when we compare the coin's website, code, token, launch timing, liquidity, ticker and wallets against each other and against public address labels.

    • Cabals in this coin1 known group of wallets is in this coin. The largest, holder guild #g64222, has 9 of its 38 wallets here: 1.31% held at our check. source
    • Linked walletsThe dev is one of 2 linked wallets; together they created 1 coin we checked. source
    • The teamThe dev and 1 early buyer/holder wallet. source
    • The story behind itThe coin's story is an X post by @FirstCoinLaunch with 18 likes. It was posted 32 min before the coin's first pool. The post names this coin. 4 other coins we checked use the same post. source
    • Same ticker elsewhere23 other coins trade as $PROB. The biggest is Probably Nothing on Solana ($121K, first pool 54m ago). source
    • Reused X postThe X post x.com/FirstCoinLaunch/status/2121337177087132102 is also listed by 4 other coins we checked: $PROB ×4. So many coins list it that it's most likely someone else's, borrowed for the story. source

    The token

    Mint & freeze revoked

    • Mint new tokens: locked
    • Freeze wallets: locked
    • Change name, logo and links: locked
    Full token report

    The website

    The token's metadata lists no website of its own.

    The story behind it

    @FirstCoinLaunch · 18 likes · 11 replies

    Solana just intorduced it's AI https://t.co/Dcdp2NFAHz I gave it one prompt "Make a memecoin" It called it Probably Nothing and said the mascot is a shiba in a bathtub with a rubber duck This is the first memecoin prompt from Solana AI https://t.co/1XlHzeZ66x

    Posted 32 min before the coin's first pool. The post names this coin. 4 other coins we checked use the same post.

    Track record of these signals

    How earlier coins with the same signals did: the share that fell 80% or more within 24 hours of our check, against coins without the signal. It describes past coins; it doesn't predict this one. All signals

    Signal this coin hasFell 80%+ with itWithout itCoins
    Creator wallet under a day old83%77%3913
    A launch crew bought the launch block79%78%3080
    Loads DexScreener's chart in this page (their site sets its own cookies).
    • Checked isn't the same as safe: these checks describe what the token allows and what the website runs, not what anyone will do.
    • "Nothing found" means not visible on the public page; servers and private code are invisible to us. Not financial advice.