$odds / against the odds

Solana5d oldgraduated 5d ago
Scanned 30 Oct 2026

Trading for 5d; made by a 5-day-old wallet; the creator held none at our scan; mint and freeze revoked; 1,148 holders, top 10 hold 9%.

Price$0.0₅1922no real move
Market cap$1.8Kno real pool
Liquidity$2.0K1 pool
Volume 24h$0
Holders1,148
Top 10 hold9%
Dev held0.0%at our scan
Launch block–
Loading the chart…

    ▲ buy · ▼ sell · ● event. Markers show trades by wallets we know something about (D dev, LB launch-block buyer, C crew, K KOL, S smart money, W large trade, TG callout) and what our live watch flagged. Facts, not a verdict. Charts by TradingView.

    Over time

    Liquidity, holders and market cap, since we started watching 22 h ago

    Liquidity$2.0K+3%
    Holders1,148+0%
    Market cap$1.8K+3%

    We read the coin every 10 minutes for three days after anyone opens its page. Liquidity and market cap: DexScreener. Holders: GeckoTerminal and our scan.

    Cabals in this coin 1

    Groups of wallets that keep buying the same coins: launch crews (they buy launch blocks together) and holder guilds (they sit among the top holders of the same coins). Only groups with 2+ wallets in this coin.

    GroupHereLaunch blockHeld at checkTaken outIts record
    Holder guild #g7ebda 15 wallets · 64 coins 40%3.73% · 85% fell 80%+

    Money out: we found no trades of this coin from the dev's or the launch-block wallets' token accounts in its first 24 hours (bots that trade through throwaway accounts can hide from this).

    The dev's linked wallets 2

    The dev is one of 2 linked wallets; together they created 1 coin we checked.

    Dqi8…1yGbthis walletcreated 1
    5paQ…wU68funded Dqi8…1yGb

    Coins they created: $odds

    Linked when one first funded the other, or both bought in the same small launch crew. Busy wallets (exchanges, services) are never used to join wallets.

    The team

    The dev, the wallets that bought the launch block, and holders the dev funded: how they're connected and how their earlier coins did. The launch map below draws the connections.

    1Wallets in the team
    0Connected to the dev
    ·Earlier coins that fell 80%+
    ·Earlier coins that went 2x+
    Dqi8…1yGb dev no earlier coins seen

    Money map

    Loading who funded whom…

    Arrows show money moving (the first money a wallet received) and coins bought or held. Facts from the chain, not a verdict about anyone.

    The creator wallet

    Dqi8AtkVt1i2bfHXUm491ewk4QJWqKVAbjg6V9gx1yGb

    • Held 0.00% of the supply and 34.7897 SOL at our scan (30 Oct 2026).
    • First transaction 5d ago, 12 transactions so far.
    • First funded with 20.582 SOL by 5paQ…wU68.

    Source: pump.fun bonding curve.

    The creator's other coins

    Creator wallet Dqi8AtkVt1i2bfHXUm491ewk4QJWqKVAbjg6V9gx1yGb (from GeckoTerminal). No other coins from this wallet in our records yet. Open the wallet ›

    Who holds the supply

    Pools & launch curve 21.52%Crews & holder guilds 3.73%Other top holders 11.19% Smaller holders, not read one by one 63.56%
    • Pools & launch curve 21.52%
    • Crews & holder guilds 3.73%
    • Other top holders 11.19%
    • Smaller holders, not read one by one 63.56%

    From the top 20 holders (RugCheck); the rest is spread over smaller holders we don't read one by one. Not part of the light.

    At a glance

    • Mint & freezeRevoked
    • Dev held at our scan0.00%
    • Creator wallet age5d
    • Held by top 109%
    • SocialsX

    Facts read from the chain and the coin's own pages. Checked isn't the same as safe.

    Top holders

    Who each of the biggest holders is to this launch, from the launch block, first funding, insider flags, known groups and each wallet's first trade.

    Source RugCheck, read 30 Oct 2026.

    #WalletHoldsWhat we know
    1 Pump Fun AMM 21.52%
    2 7wC2…bDFJ 1.11% guild #g7ebda
    3 5HfS…VsFt 1.04% guild #g7ebda
    4 AvAg…zgAx 1.00% nothing stands out
    5 3zyA…kQs8 0.95% nothing stands out
    6 BMh4…p5Fp 0.90% nothing stands out
    7 D1Rd…Zwyo 0.85% guild #g7ebda
    8 Ay47…PtMY 0.79% nothing stands out
    9 ASkG…vFpm 0.77% nothing stands out
    10 HSmQ…ok2r 0.73% nothing stands out
    11 BKJ5…X8gL 0.73% nothing stands out
    12 AgLw…QzAN 0.73% guild #g7ebda
    13 68kb…zPXD 0.72% nothing stands out
    14 5SaY…wn3C 0.70% nothing stands out
    15 GwKm…qgTN 0.66% nothing stands out
    16 F7a9…UDyE 0.66% nothing stands out
    17 5eC6…srvL 0.66% nothing stands out
    18 G7ZT…1Amt 0.64% nothing stands out
    19 CR5W…S8iW 0.64% nothing stands out
    20 GE7H…SPqW 0.64% nothing stands out

    Holder map

    The 20 biggest holders (bigger bubble = bigger share). Grey: pools and known services. Pink: wallets RugCheck flags as insiders. Same colour with a line to an outer dot: first funded by the same wallet. Liquidity locked: 100%.

    Holders, insider flags, labels and liquidity locks: RugCheck. Shared funders: our own read of each wallet's first transaction.

    Launch tape (log time from creation)

    Created Graduated +4m Our check $39.1K · +4m 24 h later $1.9K · +24h Now $1.8K · +5d

    Live activity

    Connecting to the live trades…

    Wallets per minute (in the trades we've read)

    Waiting for trades…

    buying wallets selling wallets

    What we're seeing

    • Waiting for trades…

    Latest trades

    Most active wallets (in the trades we've read)

    WalletBoughtSoldNetTrades
    Waiting for trades…

    Trades from GeckoTerminal's public feed, refreshed every few seconds while this page is open. Wallet ages and funders: our own reads of each wallet's first transaction. Flags describe what happened, not why.

    Trading for 5d; made by a 5-day-old wallet; the creator held none at our scan; mint and freeze revoked; 1,148 holders, top 10 hold 9%.

    • Cabals in this coin1 known group of wallets is in this coin. The largest, holder guild #g7ebda, has 4 of its 15 wallets here: 3.73% held at our check. 44 of the 52 coins it was in with an outcome fell 80%+ within a day.
    • The story behind itThe coin's story is an X post by @elonmusk (verified) with 2,231 likes. It was posted 9 min before the coin's first pool. The post doesn't name this coin: the coin borrows its story.
    • Same ticker elsewhere7 other coins trade as $odds. The biggest is OddsEngine on Robinhood Chain ($90.9K, first pool 17d ago). It is older and bigger than this one, so check you have the address you meant.

    Cross-checks

    What we find when we compare the coin's website, code, token, launch timing, liquidity, ticker and wallets against each other and against public address labels.

    • Cabals in this coin1 known group of wallets is in this coin. The largest, holder guild #g7ebda, has 4 of its 15 wallets here: 3.73% held at our check. 44 of the 52 coins it was in with an outcome fell 80%+ within a day. source
    • Linked walletsThe dev is one of 2 linked wallets; together they created 1 coin we checked. source
    • The teamOnly the dev wallet: no early buyer or holder wallets found with it. source
    • The story behind itThe coin's story is an X post by @elonmusk (verified) with 2,231 likes. It was posted 9 min before the coin's first pool. The post doesn't name this coin: the coin borrows its story. source
    • Liquidity depthPool liquidity is $2.0K, 107.0% of the $1.8K market cap. Selling 1% of the supply (about $18) would get roughly 1.8% less than the quoted price (estimate for a standard pool). source
    • Same ticker elsewhere7 other coins trade as $odds. The biggest is OddsEngine on Robinhood Chain ($90.9K, first pool 17d ago). It is older and bigger than this one, so check you have the address you meant. source
    • Contract permissions (GoPlus)GoPlus finds none of the risky permissions it checks for. source

    The token

    Mint & freeze revoked

    • Mint new tokens: locked
    • Freeze wallets: locked
    • Change name, logo and links: locked
    Full token report

    The website

    The token's metadata lists no website of its own.

    The story behind it

    @elonmusk verified · 2,231 likes · 138 replies

    @TheCaptainEli True

    Posted 9 min before the coin's first pool. The post doesn't name this coin: the coin borrows its story.

    Track record of these signals

    How earlier coins with the same signals did: the share that fell 80% or more within 24 hours of our check, against coins without the signal. It describes past coins; it doesn't predict this one. All signals

    Signal this coin hasFell 80%+ with itWithout itCoins
    Creator wallet under a day old73%61%1030
    A launch crew bought the launch block66%61%2356
    Loads DexScreener's chart in this page (their site sets its own cookies).
    • Checked isn't the same as safe: these checks describe what the token allows and what the website runs, not what anyone will do.
    • "Nothing found" means not visible on the public page; servers and private code are invisible to us. Not financial advice.