$PROB / Probably Nothing

Groups of wallets that keep buying the same coins: launch crews (they buy launch blocks together) and holder guilds (they sit among the top holders of the same coins). Only groups with 2+ wallets in this coin.

The 6 wallets that bought in the launch block (the first two blocks, under a second) took 28.01% of the supply. Grouped by the wallet that first funded them: 2 linked groups hold 27.42% of it.

Grey = a wallet with no funding link to the others. Taken out = sales minus buys plus liquidity out minus in, from the money-out measurement above.

The dev, the wallets that bought the launch block, and holders the dev funded: how they're connected and how their earlier coins did. The launch map below draws the connections.

Groups of wallets that keep buying launch blocks together, across coins we checked. A crew is a buying pattern; it doesn't say who runs it.

4 of the wallets that bought this coin's launch block also bought the launch block of other coins we checked. Sniper bots and launch groups both look like this.

Creator wallet 4V9rPaF6poBdoMgczEtG9a9TJUj3FkrhgLLhWeusGQok (from GeckoTerminal). No other coins from this wallet in our records yet. Open the wallet ›

On chain, this wallet launched 67 coins on pump.fun; 8 graduated to a DEX. Its biggest launches (graduated first, then by SOL raised on the curve):

HYqy…pumpGraduated to a DEX Graduated – DhBr…pumpGraduated to a DEX Graduated – ErU4…pumpGraduated to a DEX Graduated – 7E1U…pumpGraduated to a DEX Graduated – D9Y1…pumpGraduated to a DEX Graduated – 2kt5…pumpGraduated to a DEX Graduated – EQcS…pumpGraduated to a DEX Graduated – $Bread BreadcoinStayed on the pump.fun curve – $2.2Kmarket cap now 0.32 SOL raised 5xuX…pumpStayed on the pump.fun curve – – 0.20 SOL raised HmnN…pumpStayed on the pump.fun curve – – 0.08 SOL raised 5z8o…pumpStayed on the pump.fun curve – – 0.07 SOL raised $ITO IRAN TAKE OVERStayed on the pump.fun curve – – 0.05 SOL raised 2f29…pumpStayed on the pump.fun curve – – 0.05 SOL raised jysq…pumpStayed on the pump.fun curve – – 0.04 SOL raised J3xK…pumpStayed on the pump.fun curve – – 0.03 SOL raised Fv8w…pumpStayed on the pump.fun curve – – 0.03 SOL raised w37Z…pumpStayed on the pump.fun curve – – 0.03 SOL raised

17 of 67 read from the chain so far; the rest are coming in. See all 67 launches ›

Who each of the biggest holders is to this launch, from the launch block, first funding, insider flags, known groups and each wallet's first trade.

Source RugCheck, read 36 min ago.

The 20 biggest holders (bigger bubble = bigger share). Grey: pools and known services. Pink: wallets RugCheck flags as insiders. Same colour with a line to an outer dot: first funded by the same wallet. Liquidity locked: 100%.

Holders, insider flags, labels and liquidity locks: RugCheck. Shared funders: our own read of each wallet's first transaction.

The creator in the middle, the wallets that bought in the launch block around it (bigger bubble = bigger share of supply), and the wallets that funded them on the outside. Buyers with the same colour were funded by the same wallet.

What we find when we compare the coin's website, code, token, launch timing, liquidity, ticker and wallets against each other and against public address labels.

• Creator's launchesThe creator wallet has launched 67 coins on pump.fun (counted on chain from its bonding curves); we checked 1 of them.
• Cabals in this coin2 known groups of wallets are in this coin. The largest, launch crew #1cc6b0, has 4 of its 788 wallets here: 1.49% bought in the launch block. 519 of the 657 coins it was in with an outcome fell 80%+ within a day. source
• The teamThe dev and 5 early buyer/holder wallets; 4 connected to the dev (funding or crew), holding 1.5%; their 74 earlier coins with an outcome: 60 fell 80%+, 3 went 2x+ within a day. source
• The story behind itThe coin's story is an X post by @FirstCoinLaunch with 12 likes. It was posted 1 min before the coin's first pool. The post names this coin. 3 other coins we checked use the same post. source
• Liquidity depthPool liquidity is $1.7K, 108.4% of the $1.6K market cap. Selling 1% of the supply (about $16) would get roughly 1.8% less than the quoted price (estimate for a standard pool). source
• Same ticker elsewhere22 other coins trade as $PROB. The biggest is Probably Nothing on Solana ($121K, first pool 37m ago). source
• Reused X postThe X post x.com/FirstCoinLaunch/status/2121337177087132102 is also listed by 4 other coins we checked: $PROB ×4. So many coins list it that it's most likely someone else's, borrowed for the story. source

How earlier coins with the same signals did: the share that fell 80% or more within 24 hours of our check, against coins without the signal. It describes past coins; it doesn't predict this one. All signals

• Checked isn't the same as safe: these checks describe what the token allows and what the website runs, not what anyone will do.
• "Nothing found" means not visible on the public page; servers and private code are invisible to us. Not financial advice.